Let’s be honest – week 13 of the NFL is disgusting, with the exception of a few key matchups. Even in a week with questionable matchups, and Joe Flacco returning at quarterback, there are still areas to find value. Let’s dive into our NFL Sunday best bets.
Two of the key matchups include the Eagles at home, trying to keep their stranglehold on the conference and the Chiefs on the road. The Chiefs are trying to maintain their lead in an extremely competitive AFC conference.
NFL Sunday Best Bets #1: Eagles ML (+140) – Bet365
Eagles are battling injuries with key names like Fletcher Cox, Dallas Goedert, and Lane Johnson. The talk all week has been, the “What Would have happened if Brock Purdy did not go down in the playoff game last year?” It creates a narrative of who wants it more. However, I do not buy into narratives.
Eagles are coming off two massive tough wins at Arrowhead, and against the Bills. The Eagles and 49ers are arguably both the most complete teams in football. The biggest X Factor in this game will be in the trenches, Eagles OL vs 49ers DL . The Eagles have an advantage from short yardage with the tush push, they are converting that play at a 72.3% . I think Eagles are just as good as the 49ers with comparing their front 7s. Eagles take the W and have their eyes in set on the Super Bowl as one of the best teams in the NFC.
NFL Sunday Best Bets #2: Isiah Pacheco over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-114) – FanDuel
Pacheco is averaging 9.2 yards after the catch and has seen 3 targets for majority of the season. He has Mahomes as his QB so that is always a bonus. His catch rate is 88.2% which is above league average. The Packers are looking more complete as the season goes on so I do expect this game to be kept closing than people believe. Pacheco has become more a receiving threat this year compared to last. Pacheco has seen an increased target share on the road this year and the Chiefs haven’t been the same powerhouse this year leading to them having to play more from behind resulting in dump offs to the RBs.