Tuesday MLB Wicked Wagers (July 26)

by | Jul 26, 2022 | Baseball

I’ll be the first to admit it that last night was a bit rough on the Wicked Wagers. Huge upsets coming from the Athletics and Nationals by beating two of the top teams in the league. This is exactly why I stay away from the money line when the value isn’t there. Baseball is just a tough sport to predict. But it’s a nice day to get back on track, and with 15 games scheduled, your day will be filled with baseball bliss. I’m particularly excited to watch the Yankees and Mets play since these two teams will be playing in the postseason- maybe they’ll even meet in the World Series.

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Wicked Wager is a term coined by our experts that refers to our best betting recommendation(s) for a specific game.

7:05PM EST Atlanta Braves (-125) @ Philadelphia Phillies (+105)

Starting Pitchers: Spencer Stride (ATL) vs Aaron Nola (PHI) 

Atlanta had the lead into the 8th, but by the time the inning was over, they trailed 6-4 after a 3-run home run from Bryson Stott. Five out of the six Phillies runs came from the young middle infielder. The deficit was too much for the Braves, and they dropped the first game of the series against their divisional opponents. Atlanta bounces back tonight. Their bullpen has been solid all year, and don’t expect them to blow another late-game lead.

It’s Spencer Stride vs. Aaron Nola in tonight’s game, and Vegas predicts it’ll be low scoring, with the total run line set at 7.5.  The rookie, Spencer Stride, has been a key part of the Braves rotation and is having a great season. In the ten games he’s started, he holds an impressive earned run average of 3.03 and a 4-3 ERA. He shouldn’t have too much trouble navigating a Phillies offense that doesn’t include Bryce Harper. Aaron Nola gets the ball for Philadelphia. While Nola hasn’t had the year he envisioned, he’s been great over his last seven starts with an ERA of 2.60. Don’t mind his record, he’s a victim of a non-existent offense.

This should be a close one which is why I’m staying away from the run line and the low over/under total.

Wicked Wagers – ATL ML (-125)

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7:10PM EST New York Yankees (-110) @ New York Mets (-110)

Starting Pitchers: Jordan Montgomery (NYY) vs Taijuan Walker (NYM)

Tonight is the beginning of a two game subway series between the teams from New York. It will be some good baseball as these two clubs have been in my Top 5 Power Rankings all year long. Neither team has played exceptionally well as of late with The Yanks really struggling in the bullpen department. Their starting rotation has had to carry the load and when they’re not on the top of their game, their back end can’t be counted on to close out games. They only have two healthy relief arms from the beginning of the season, and the front office will have to address it ASAP.

Jordan Montgomery has been an integral part for the Yankees with a 3.24 ERA, but the Mets have the advantage in tonight’s game. Taijuan Walker has had a bounce back year. If it wasn’t for his ERA of 2.55 and 7-2 record, the Mets might have been dead in the water after losing Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom. There is a real question whether deGrom will even pitch in a game this year. Both teams will rise to the occasion, and we’re in for a star-studded event.

I’m going to have to go with the Mets in the first game due to their starting pitching advantage.

Wicked Wagers – Mets Money Line (-110) / Total Runs o8.0 (-115)

10:10PM EST Los Angeles Dodgers (-260) @ Washington Nationals (+210)

Starting Pitchers: Mitch White (LAD) vs Josiah Gray (WSH)

The Dodgers 8-game win streak was snapped last night and it was a frustrating game to watch. The offense took the evening off. Los Angeles had runners on base in most innings, but just couldn’t bring them in. Here’s a very interesting stat: 11 of 31 of the Dodgers losses have come against teams in the bottom third in terms of wins. This doesn’t make things easy when it comes to betting. They should be mopping these teams, but it seems like they play down to their competition.

Josiah Gray starts on the mound tonight for the Nationals as he faces his old team. The Dodgers traded him away in the deal for Trea Turner. So far, the trade has panned out for LA because Gray hasn’t impressed. He’s an innings eater for a team that didn’t expect to win many games, and his ERA on the season is a 4.40. He could be getting accustomed to major league competition though, over his last 7 starts, his ERA is 3.54. The righty from San Jose, CA gets the ball for the Dodgers, and he’s done a great job at keeping LA in games. He generally doesn’t pitch super deep into games, but if he gets through 4 or 5 innings giving up just a run or two, LADs be able to compete.

Somehow, some way, the Dodgers will come away with a victory in game two. They have to.

Wicked Wager – LAD Run Line -1.5 (-125)

How to Bet Baseball

Unlike other popular sports, most wagers placed on MLB games do not involve a point spread. Instead, bettors typically wager on the moneyline, looking to predict the winner of the game straight-up.

The less-popular cousin of the moneyline bet in baseball is the runline wager. The betting favorite will be assigned a -1.5-run handicap, but oddsmakers will offer an appropriate amount of “juice” to make laying the 1.5 runs with the favorite more appealing.

Totals wagers in baseball work very much like totals wagers in other sports. Oddsmakers will assign an Over/Under figure to every game, leaving bettors to determine whether the game in question will be a home run derby or a pitcher’s duel. Totals of 8.5 runs are typical of MLB games, though totals as low as seven runs and as high as 10 runs will pop up throughout the season.